National 3 Pays de la Loire Round 26

USSA Vertou vs Challans analysis

USSA Vertou Challans
40 ELO 37
2.9% Tilt -8.3%
6605º General ELO ranking 6558º
164º Country ELO ranking 162º
ELO win probability
53%
USSA Vertou
22.6%
Draw
24.4%
Challans

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
USSA Vertou
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.4%
Win probability
Challans
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
USSA Vertou
-31%
-7%
Challans

Points and table prediction

USSA Vertou
Their league position
Challans
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
44
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche Vendée
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
ESOFV La Roche
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
USSA Vertou
Challans
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

USSA Vertou
Challans
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

USSA Vertou
USSA Vertou
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
FON
Fontenay
1 - 3
USSA Vertou
USS
35%
25%
40%
38 35 3 0
06 May. 2023
SPG
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
1 - 3
USSA Vertou
USS
21%
21%
58%
38 27 11 0
22 Apr. 2023
USS
USSA Vertou
7 - 0
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
35%
22%
43%
36 41 5 +2
15 Apr. 2023
LAV
Stade Lavallois II
2 - 2
USSA Vertou
USS
49%
23%
28%
36 37 1 0
01 Apr. 2023
USS
USSA Vertou
4 - 0
Change
CHA
73%
16%
11%
36 24 12 0

Matches

Challans
Challans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
CHA
Challans
0 - 1
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
SPG
75%
15%
10%
40 25 15 0
06 May. 2023
ESO
ESOFV La Roche
0 - 4
Challans
CHA
53%
22%
26%
39 38 1 +1
22 Apr. 2023
CHA
Challans
4 - 1
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
48%
24%
27%
38 37 1 +1
15 Apr. 2023
CHA
Change
0 - 2
Challans
CHA
21%
24%
56%
37 24 13 +1
01 Apr. 2023
CHA
Challans
1 - 1
Le Mans II
LEM
71%
17%
12%
38 27 11 -1