USM Saran U19 vs Amiens SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
73.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
11º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
REI
3 - 0
SRA
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 3
SRA
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SRA
0 - 3
MON
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DKQ
1 - 0
SRA
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SRA
3 - 2
PSG
4%
9%
88%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | +6 |
Matches
Amiens SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AMI
1 - 1
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 3
AMI
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AMI
5 - 2
GON
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 2
AMI
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AMI
4 - 2
LIL
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |