USM Alger vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
CAB
3 - 1
USM
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2005 |
USM
4 - 1
EAN
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
ORA
2 - 1
USM
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
HUS
0 - 1
USM
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
USM
4 - 1
USM
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
HUS
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2005 |
USM
4 - 1
CON
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
CON
2 - 2
CHL
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
SET
0 - 1
CON
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
GCM
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |