USM Alger U21 vs RC Arbaâ U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
18
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
88.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
71% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
USB
1 - 1
ALG
12%
20%
67%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
MCA
1 - 1
ALG
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ALG
3 - 2
SET
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
ALG
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
RC Arbaâ U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 3
CON
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
CHL
0 - 0
RCA
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
73%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 0
RCA
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
RCA
2 - 2
ELB
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |