USM Ait Melloul vs Union Mohammedia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Ait Melloul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
UST
3 - 1
USM
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
USM
3 - 1
ASS
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 1
USM
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
USM
0 - 0
MEK
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RAH
3 - 2
USM
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mohammedia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
MOU
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
UNI
38%
30%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
FBS
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
UST
53%
29%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
UNI
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |