USD Castelsardo vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USD Castelsardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
POM
3 - 2
USD
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
USD
1 - 1
CYN
43%
26%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
USD
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USD
1 - 1
APR
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
STC
1 - 0
USD
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 4
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
POM
1 - 1
ARZ
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CYN
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 1
ARZ
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
3 - 1
APR
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |