Triestina vs Arzignano Valchiampo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 2
VIR
49%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
TRI
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UAR
1 - 1
TRI
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UAR
1 - 1
TRE
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
UAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UAR
3 - 0
PIA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 1
UAR
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UAR
1 - 1
TRI
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |