Triestina vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 3
PIA
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 2
TRI
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
USC
1 - 1
TRI
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
BV5
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
TRI
34%
29%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
FCS
59%
24%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 1
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
BV5
65%
22%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPE
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |