Serie C Playoffs Descenso Final
Global 0-0
Triestina vs Caldiero Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 0
TRI
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TRI
6 - 0
NOV
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
1 - 0
TRI
73%
19%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 1
PAD
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
REN
0 - 1
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 0
TRI
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
CLO
0 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 0
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
UAR
2 - 1
CAL
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATA
30%
27%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |