Poggibonsi vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
USP
3 - 1
SAV
23%
26%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 3
USP
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
REN
4 - 2
USP
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
USP
1 - 1
ACS
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 2
USP
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RIM
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
USA
19%
25%
56%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CUN
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
REN
1 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |