US Marinoise vs Assaut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Marinoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CLU
2 - 1
USM
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
USM
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
USM
2 - 4
CLU
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
USM
0 - 2
USD
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RCR
4 - 1
USM
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Assaut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ASP
1 - 1
GOO
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 1
AIG
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
ASP
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
USR
1 - 0
ASP
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ASP
2 - 4
GOL
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |