Grosseto vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 2
GRO
17%
25%
58%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 1
PIS
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
GRO
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
NOC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 3
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 0
LEC
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |