Calcio Foggia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 3
USF
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
REG
1 - 1
USF
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
USF
2 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
VIS
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 3
AVE
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 1
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |