Calcio Foggia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
3 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
USF
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
USF
6 - 0
ISC
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
USF
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
USF
0 - 0
VIG
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 3
JUS
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |