Calcio Foggia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
TER
2 - 2
USF
33%
28%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USF
4 - 1
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
USF
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
TAR
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
USF
41%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
CRO
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |