Cremonese vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
USC
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USC
1 - 1
FCS
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 1
USC
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ACL
0 - 1
USC
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
USC
1 - 2
ASS
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ABN
0 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
LEO
28%
28%
45%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAV
0 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACL
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |