Cremonese vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 3
USC
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USC
1 - 0
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
USC
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
USC
19%
28%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USC
2 - 0
LAT
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 1
SPE
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
PIA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 0
FCS
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SSB
2 - 1
PIA
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 2
BV5
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |