Cremonese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
USC
2 - 0
CAG
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
USC
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
USC
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
VER
0 - 0
USC
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
ARZ
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CES
2 - 0
MES
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
MES
2 - 1
TAR
64%
22%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
CAG
0 - 0
MES
42%
30%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |