Cremonese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
USC
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
USC
2 - 1
MAN
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 4
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
USC
2 - 1
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
USC
1 - 1
LIV
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
4 - 3
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FIA
2 - 1
ASL
41%
28%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACI
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 2
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
CTT
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |