Cremonese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BV5
1 - 1
USC
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
USC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GER
0 - 3
USC
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
USC
1 - 1
SAS
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 1
USC
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAV
69%
21%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 4
PAV
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 0
USP
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |