Coppa Italia Group C Round 1

Avellino vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Avellino Ternana Calcio
68 ELO 61
-29.6% Tilt -19.5%
914º General ELO ranking 538º
47º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Avellino
25.7%
Draw
17.8%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
Avellino
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17.8%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avellino
+10%
-8%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Avellino
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avellino
Avellino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1979
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 0
Avellino
AVE
58%
22%
19%
68 68 0 0
13 May. 1979
JUV
Juventus
3 - 3
Avellino
AVE
82%
13%
5%
68 87 19 0
06 May. 1979
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Inter
INT
21%
30%
49%
67 85 18 +1
29 Apr. 1979
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Avellino
AVE
57%
26%
18%
67 70 3 0
22 Apr. 1979
ASC
Ascoli
2 - 0
Avellino
AVE
61%
24%
15%
67 72 5 0

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1979
COM
Como
2 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
50%
27%
23%
61 58 3 0
24 Jun. 1979
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 3
Ternana Calcio
TER
59%
25%
16%
61 62 1 0
17 Jun. 1979
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Calcio Foggia
USF
49%
28%
23%
61 61 0 0
10 Jun. 1979
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
50%
29%
22%
61 59 2 0
03 Jun. 1979
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
SPAL
SPA
54%
29%
18%
61 60 1 0