US Alessandria vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
USA
1 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
USA
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
ACM
3 - 0
USA
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
USA
3 - 2
LAZ
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
LEO
1 - 0
USA
54%
21%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1934 |
LIV
5 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1934 |
LEO
0 - 0
LIV
61%
19%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
TRI
0 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
LIV
1 - 3
ROM
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |