US Alessandria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
USA
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
USA
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
USA
2 - 1
FCS
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 4
USA
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 3
USA
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
BV5
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PAD
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PAD
3 - 0
ABN
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAD
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 3
CUN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |