Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
UMO
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
PLA
2 - 2
UMO
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DEP
3 - 2
UMO
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 2
UMO
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
PAY
0 - 0
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
PAY
2 - 4
SUD
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 1
PAY
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
PAY
1 - 5
COL
39%
25%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
CSC
3 - 1
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |