Poland Fourth Division Round 33

Ursus Warszawa vs Tur Bielsk Podlaski analysis

Ursus Warszawa Tur Bielsk Podlaski
39 ELO 27
-8.3% Tilt -19.5%
9181º General ELO ranking 36691º
172º Country ELO ranking 489º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Ursus Warszawa
18.3%
Draw
12.9%
Tur Bielsk Podlaski

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
Ursus Warszawa
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.9%
Win probability
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ursus Warszawa
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ursus Warszawa
Ursus Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2018
DNM
Drwęca Nowe Miasto L
1 - 2
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
57%
22%
21%
37 37 0 0
26 May. 2018
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 3
29%
26%
45%
39 45 6 -2
23 May. 2018
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 3
Huragan Morag
HUR
43%
26%
32%
40 40 0 -1
19 May. 2018
OLI
Olimpia Zambrow
1 - 3
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
58%
23%
19%
39 40 1 +1
12 May. 2018
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
3 - 1
Legia Warszawa II
LWA
47%
24%
30%
38 36 2 +1

Matches

Tur Bielsk Podlaski
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2018
TBP
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
3 - 1
Huragan Morag
HUR
14%
20%
66%
24 41 17 0
26 May. 2018
OLI
Olimpia Zambrow
5 - 4
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
TBP
83%
11%
5%
24 40 16 0
23 May. 2018
TBP
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
2 - 2
Legia Warszawa II
LWA
19%
21%
60%
24 34 10 0
19 May. 2018
MKS
MKS Ełk
1 - 0
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
TBP
76%
14%
9%
24 36 12 0
13 May. 2018
TBP
Tur Bielsk Podlaski
0 - 1
Widzew Łódź
WLO
7%
17%
77%
25 49 24 -1