Ureña vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
URE
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
URE
2 - 1
ZUL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
URE
2 - 0
TIT
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
URE
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ZUL
4 - 2
ULA
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIT
4 - 3
ULA
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
49%
23%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ZUL
2 - 4
ULA
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ULA
3 - 1
URE
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |