Ureña vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 0
URE
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
URE
1 - 3
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 0
URE
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
ANG
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 1
URE
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
ATL
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 1
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
POR
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDS
4 - 1
LAR
41%
26%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |