Urduliz FT vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
15º
11º
30
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urduliz FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
URD
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
URD
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
URD
2 - 4
DEU
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
URD
2 - 2
ALA
13%
22%
65%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
4 - 1
URD
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEU
1 - 1
LON
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
2 - 1
LON
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |