Upesciems vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
3.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
85.3%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
7.1%
2-5
2.6%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
5.3%
2-6
1.6%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
14.4%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
3.3%
2-7
0.9%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
9.6%
0-6
3.3%
1-7
1.7%
2-8
0.4%
3-9
0.1%
-6
5.5%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.8%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
2.7%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0.1%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upesciems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
TFK
0 - 1
UPE
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UPE
0 - 3
DAL
15%
17%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
UPE
2 - 4
SPE
15%
17%
68%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
UPE
1 - 3
LIM
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
STA
3 - 0
UPE
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SMI
5 - 1
RFA
23%
19%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FKB
5 - 1
SMI
5%
9%
86%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
DRS
41%
20%
39%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 1
SMI
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 4
SAL
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |