Upesciems vs New Project analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upesciems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
TAL
3 - 1
UPE
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 0
UPE
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
UPE
6 - 1
FOR
48%
23%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
UPE
0 - 4
FCD
4%
9%
87%
|
10 | 77 | 67 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FKO
4 - 1
UPE
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |