Universities AFC vs Wanaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
79.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
9º
15
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 38 |
3º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 30 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
UOC
2 - 7
COA
6%
11%
84%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CAS
8 - 4
UOC
94%
4%
2%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
UOC
1 - 0
DUN
9%
14%
76%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UOC
0 - 2
FER
17%
17%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SUF
2 - 2
UOC
56%
19%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OTU
0 - 0
WNK
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
CHR
7 - 0
WNK
83%
11%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
GIA
0 - 3
WNK
24%
19%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WNK
1 - 2
FER
61%
18%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
NSF
2 - 1
WNK
63%
17%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |