Universitario Deportes vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
UNI
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAM
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 1
UNI
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEO
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
COB
0 - 3
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
COM
2 - 3
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GAL
2 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |