Universitario Deportes vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
39%
30%
32%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAM
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 1
UNI
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 0
CIE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
SAM
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 2
TOT
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |