Universitario Deportes vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SBO
1 - 1
UNI
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
UNI
4 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
MUN
2 - 1
UNI
37%
29%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
SPC
2 - 2
CIE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 2
SPC
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 3
MEL
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
SBO
0 - 1
SPC
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |