Perú - Liga 1 Fase 2 round 5

Universitario Deportes vs Ayacucho FC analysis

Universitario Deportes Ayacucho FC
74 ELO 68
-9% Tilt -15%
705º General ELO ranking 3245º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Universitario Deportes
26.3%
Draw
23.8%
Ayacucho FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
Universitario Deportes
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.8%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Universitario Deportes
+24%
-25%
Ayacucho FC

ELO progression

Universitario Deportes
Ayacucho FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Universitario Deportes
Universitario Deportes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2013
LEO
León de Huánuco
1 - 0
Universitario Deportes
UNI
44%
28%
28%
74 71 3 0
20 Sep. 2013
UNI
Universitario Deportes
0 - 1
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
AUR
56%
25%
19%
74 68 6 0
15 Sep. 2013
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
1 - 2
Universitario Deportes
UNI
38%
29%
33%
74 67 7 0
31 Aug. 2013
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 1
Cienciano
CIE
53%
26%
22%
74 68 6 0
25 Aug. 2013
UNI
Universitario Deportes
5 - 1
José Gálvez
GAL
61%
23%
15%
73 61 12 +1

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2013
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 0
José Gálvez
GAL
58%
23%
18%
69 61 8 0
17 Sep. 2013
SAM
Univ. San Martín
3 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
40%
28%
33%
70 67 3 -1
14 Sep. 2013
LEO
León de Huánuco
0 - 2
Ayacucho FC
AYA
51%
26%
23%
69 72 3 +1
01 Sep. 2013
AYA
Ayacucho FC
2 - 1
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
AUR
49%
26%
25%
68 67 1 +1
25 Aug. 2013
AYA
Ayacucho FC
3 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
41%
28%
32%
68 71 3 0