Universidad San Carlos vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HAL
1 - 1
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 4
LEO
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
RET
0 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
JAL
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
COM
3 - 2
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
VEN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 3
HAL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
4 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |