Universidad San Carlos vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 1
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
UNI
19%
26%
56%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
COB
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 0
UNI
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAY
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 3
CAR
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |