Leones Negros vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
UDG
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 0
TIA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RYD
0 - 1
UDG
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 2
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
SPT
1 - 1
UDG
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CIM
1 - 3
ZAC
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
CIM
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
CIM
3 - 0
TIA
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 3
CIM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
CIM
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |