Univ. César Vallejo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
HUA
2 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
BIN
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 1
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
AGP
2 - 0
VAL
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SBO
1 - 2
ALI
34%
28%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALI
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |