Univ. Queensland vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
EAS
11%
17%
71%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 3
UNI
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
LOG
13%
19%
69%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
UNI
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
PEN
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 0
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 0
IPS
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 4
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | +3 |