Univ. Queensland vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALB
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
CAP
4 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
PEN
8%
14%
77%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
EAS
11%
17%
71%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 1
LOG
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 3
IPS
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 3
WOL
10%
15%
75%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
IPS
4 - 2
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 2
IPS
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |