Univ. Queensland vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
PEN
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
UNI
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BRI
3 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
NOR
30%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 1
LOG
45%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 0
IPS
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IPS
2 - 0
EAS
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
IPS
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
IPS
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |