Univ. Queensland vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 3
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
EAS
9%
17%
75%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
HPH
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
UNI
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
NPI
33%
21%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
IPS
81%
11%
8%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 1
LOG
51%
20%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
5 - 1
CAP
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 0
PEN
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |