Univ. Queensland vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
73.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
QUE
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 0
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
4 - 0
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 5
ROC
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 2
LOG
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 2
CAP
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 2
WOL
14%
18%
68%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
0 - 4
QUE
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |