Univ. Queensland vs Brisbane Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
QUE
3 - 1
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
EAS
11%
18%
72%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOG
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 5
WOL
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 2
WOL
7%
13%
80%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
BRI
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 5
CAP
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 2
BRI
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |