Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ACS
0 - 3
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
HUA
0 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 3
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
UCO
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 1
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
3 - 1
UCH
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |