Univ. Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
5 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
COB
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 1
USF
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
USF
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
USF
0 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
USF
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |