Univ. Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
USF
3 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
4 - 2
USF
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
USF
2 - 3
PUE
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 2
USF
72%
17%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
USF
1 - 1
SWA
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |