Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
COB
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ULC
2 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |