Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COB
0 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
4 - 0
HUA
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
CDM
0 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 2
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSD
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |